Homo Deus: A BRIEF HISTORY OF TOMORROW with Yuval Noah Harari

University of California Television (UCTV)
24 Apr 201757:36
EducationalLearning
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TLDRIn this thought-provoking talk, Professor Yuval Harari discusses the shift of authority from humans to algorithms, a transition he refers to as the rise of 'dataism.' Harari, a renowned historian and author, outlines how humanism has long held human feelings and free will as the ultimate source of authority in decision-making. However, with advancements in technology and data analysis, algorithms are increasingly capable of understanding human emotions and behaviors better than humans themselves. He illustrates this with examples from medicine, where big data has already begun to outperform individual intuition in health decisions. Harari also explores the implications for various aspects of life, including relationships and personal choices, suggesting that entities like Google or Amazon may soon hold more authority over our decisions than our own feelings. He concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding that while technology offers new possibilities, it is ultimately up to society to decide how these tools will be used and what kind of future they will shape.

Takeaways
  • 📚 Yuval Harari is a renowned historian and author, known for his works 'Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind' and 'Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow'.
  • 🧐 Harari challenges the audience to think about the future of humanity, suggesting that Homo sapiens may not have much future left and could be replaced by different entities within a century or two.
  • 🚨 He discusses the shift of authority from humans to algorithms, indicating a significant change in how decisions are made and power is held.
  • 🧬 Harari explains that organisms, including humans, are algorithms, with feelings and emotions being biochemical processes for calculating probabilities.
  • 🧠 The merging of biotech and infotech is leading to corporations like Google and Facebook becoming increasingly involved in biotechnology, blurring the lines between the two fields.
  • 🔍 With the rise of dataism, authority is shifting towards data and algorithms, which are becoming more capable of understanding human feelings and behaviors than humans themselves.
  • 📈 Harari illustrates the point with the example of how Amazon's Kindle can track and analyze reader's behaviors and potentially even their biometric responses to what they read.
  • 💡 He suggests that in the future, people might rely on algorithms for making significant life decisions, such as whom to marry, based on the data these entities have collected about individuals.
  • 🌐 The increasing reliance on technology like GPS applications for navigation is an example of how people are already beginning to delegate decision-making to algorithms.
  • 🤔 Harari cautions that while technology enables these possibilities, it does not determine the outcome, and the future is still shaped by the choices and actions of society.
  • ⚠️ He also warns that despite the advancements, we are far from fully understanding the human brain and mind, and the concept of organisms as algorithms may still be an oversimplification.
Q & A
  • What is the main argument of Professor Yuval Harari regarding the future of Homo sapiens?

    -Professor Yuval Harari argues that Homo sapiens may not have much of a future left and predicts that within a century or two, humans as we know them will disappear, to be replaced by very different kinds of beings or entities, more different from us than we are from Neanderthals or chimpanzees.

  • According to the speaker, what is the most significant shift happening to authority in the modern world?

    -The speaker identifies a significant shift in authority from humans to algorithms, suggesting that algorithms are becoming the new rulers of the world due to their increasing ability to understand human feelings and behaviors better than humans themselves.

  • What is the core belief of humanism as described in the transcript?

    -Humanism is based on the belief in free will and the ability of humans to make free choices. It places the highest authority in human feelings and individual choices, encouraging people to look for answers within themselves rather than relying on external sources like divine commandments or religious texts.

  • How does the speaker describe the process of human decision-making in the context of evolution?

    -The speaker describes human decision-making as a process of calculating probabilities, which has been shaped by millions of years of natural selection. This process is inherently biochemical and involves the collection of data and rapid computation by the body and brain to produce feelings or emotions that guide actions.

  • What is the term used to describe the new ideology that prioritizes data as the source of authority?

    -The new ideology that prioritizes data as the source of authority is referred to as 'dataism'. According to this ideology, decisions and understanding are best left to data and algorithms, which are believed to have the potential to know individuals better than they know themselves.

  • How does the speaker illustrate the potential future where algorithms have authority over human decisions?

    -The speaker uses the example of a person facing a major life decision, such as whether to marry or not. In a future dominated by dataism, instead of relying on personal feelings or advice from a religious figure, the person would turn to Google or Amazon for advice based on the vast amount of personal data these entities have collected.

  • What is the significance of the 'Fountain' by Marcel Duchamp in the context of humanist aesthetics?

    -The 'Fountain' by Marcel Duchamp signifies a shift in humanist aesthetics where art is no longer defined by an objective yardstick but by human feelings and perceptions. It challenges the traditional notions of what constitutes art, suggesting that if people perceive something as art, it is art, reflecting the idea that beauty is in the eye of the beholder.

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  • How does the speaker suggest that the rise of dataism could impact personal relationships?

    -The speaker suggests that dataism could lead to a scenario where entities like Google or Amazon,凭借对个人及其伴侣的大量数据分析,might be able to provide recommendations on personal relationships with a high degree of accuracy, potentially advising individuals on decisions such as whether to get married or not.

  • What is the role of biometric data in the future vision of decision-making as described by the speaker?

    -Biometric data plays a crucial role in the future vision of decision-making by providing algorithms with a deeper understanding of an individual's emotional and physiological responses. This could allow for highly personalized and potentially more accurate recommendations, shaping decisions in various aspects of life, from reading preferences to health and relationships.

  • What are the potential risks or downsides to the shift of authority from humans to algorithms that the speaker discusses?

    -The speaker discusses the potential risks of losing personal intuition and spatial abilities as people increasingly rely on algorithms for navigation and decision-making. There is also the risk of over-reliance on technology, leading to a lack of understanding or ability to make decisions without it. Additionally, there is the concern that despite advancements, we may not fully understand the human brain and mind, which could limit the effectiveness of algorithms in replicating human decision-making processes.

  • How does the speaker address the concern that technology could be used to create different types of societies?

    -The speaker acknowledges that technology is not deterministic and can be used to create a variety of societal structures, citing the example of how different countries have used electricity to support different socio-political systems. The speaker encourages the audience to recognize that while technology presents possibilities, it is human choices and actions that will ultimately shape the kind of society we live in.

  • What is the speaker's view on the future of human feelings and decision-making in the age of dataism?

    -The speaker suggests that in the age of dataism, human feelings and intuition may become secondary to the data-driven insights provided by algorithms. While human feelings have been the guiding force in decision-making through the humanist era, the speaker posits that as algorithms become more sophisticated, they may start to outperform human intuition, leading to a shift in where people place their trust for decision-making.

Outlines
00:00
🎤 Introduction of Yuval Harari

The paragraph introduces Professor Yuval Harari, a renowned historian from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Harari is celebrated for his best-selling books, 'Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind' and 'Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow'. He is recognized for his ability to ask profound questions about human history and our future. Harari's work challenges traditional views of historians by focusing on the big picture and the unique aspects of human development, such as our capacity for large-scale, flexible cooperation and the role of collective beliefs in shaping our history.

05:03
🌟 The Role of Fiction in Human History

This paragraph discusses the unique role of fiction in human society according to Harari. He posits that fictional realities, such as religion, nations, and money, are central to our existence. These constructs, though not objective, provide the framework for human cooperation and the functioning of complex societies. Harari argues that our capacity to believe in shared fictions is a key element that has led to human dominance and the formation of sophisticated social structures.

10:04
🚀 The Future and the Decline of Homo Sapiens

Harari presents a thought-provoking view of the future, suggesting that Homo sapiens may become extinct in the near future, replaced by different entities. He discusses the shifting of authority from humans to algorithms, indicating a profound change in how decisions are made. The lecture transitions from discussing the past and present to contemplating the significant transformations that may lie ahead for humanity.

15:07
🧠 Humanism and the Supremacy of Human Feelings

This section delves into the humanist ideology that has dominated the last few centuries, emphasizing human feelings and free will as the ultimate sources of authority. Harari explains how humanism has manifested in various aspects of life, including politics, economics, art, and ethics. The core tenet of humanism is that individuals should look within themselves for guidance, rather than seeking answers from external sources like gods or authorities.

20:07
🎨 The Humanist View on Art and Beauty

In this paragraph, Harari discusses the humanist perspective on art and aesthetics. He highlights the iconic work of Marcel Duchamp, 'Fountain', to illustrate how the concept of art has shifted from an objective standard to a subjective, human-centered view. Harari emphasizes that in the humanist view, beauty is in the eye of the beholder, and personal feelings and interpretations are valued over traditional, authoritative definitions of art.

25:08
🌈 The Evolution of Ethical Authority

Harari examines the evolution of ethical authority from divine commandments to human feelings. He contrasts the medieval era, where the Church's views on issues like homosexuality were considered the ultimate ethical authority, with the modern humanist era, which prioritizes individual feelings and experiences. Harari also notes the irony of religious fundamentalists adopting the language of human feelings to argue their points in contemporary society.

30:08
📚 Humanist Education and the Pursuit of Individual Thought

This section focuses on the humanist approach to education, which aims to foster independent thought rather than simply impart knowledge. Harari explains that the goal of a humanist education system is to enable students to connect with their inner authority and make their own decisions, rather than relying on external sources of authority like religious texts or the teachings of the past.

35:09
🧬 The生物科技 and the Challenge to Humanism

Harari discusses the challenge that advancements in science and technology pose to humanism. He suggests that the belief in free will and the primacy of human feelings, cornerstones of humanism, are being undermined by scientific discoveries. Harari argues that our feelings are biochemical algorithms, and with enough data and computational power, external algorithms could potentially understand and predict human behavior better than we do ourselves.

40:09
🧠 Organisms as Algorithms

In this paragraph, Harari elaborates on the concept that organisms, including humans, are essentially algorithms. He explains that feelings and sensations are biochemical processes designed to calculate probabilities for decision-making. Harari uses the example of a baboon deciding whether to risk its life for food to illustrate how these 'algorithms' function in nature, emphasizing that feelings are evolved tools for survival rather than metaphysical entities.

45:12
🌊 The Convergence of Biotech and Infotech

Harari discusses the merging of biotechnology and information technology, which he sees as a significant development in the 21st century. He suggests that as our understanding of the human body and brain advances alongside the development of increasingly sophisticated electronic algorithms, the distinction between the two fields is blurring. Harari warns that entities like Google and Facebook may soon know us better than we know ourselves, leading to a shift in authority from human feelings to big data algorithms.

50:12
💡 The Data-Driven Medical Future

Harari illustrates the shifting authority in medical decisions from human feelings to data-driven algorithms. He cites the example of Angelina Jolie's preventive mastectomy following a genetic test indicating a high risk of breast cancer, despite having no symptoms. Harari suggests that this trend of relying on big data for medical decisions will become more prevalent, and that the authority in healthcare will increasingly reside with algorithms rather than individual feelings or experiences.

55:15
📖 The Future of Reading and Dataism

In this section, Harari explores the implications of dataism in the context of reading and literature. He describes a future where algorithms, rather than personal feelings or preferences, dictate what books we read. Harari envisions a scenario where Amazon, equipped with extensive data about our reading habits and physiological responses, could make highly personalized recommendations and even influence significant life decisions, such as marriage, based on data analysis.

🌐 The Impact of Technology on Society

Harari concludes his talk by highlighting that technology itself is not deterministic and can be used to create a variety of societal structures. He uses the example of electricity in East Asia to illustrate that technology can be harnessed differently by different societies. Harari emphasizes that while we are still far from fully understanding the human brain and mind, the potential of technology to reshape our lives is significant, and it is up to us to shape the future we want.

Mindmap
Keywords
💡Humanism
Humanism is a philosophical and ethical stance that emphasizes the value and agency of human beings, individually and collectively. In the context of the video, humanism is portrayed as a shift from divine authority to human feelings and choices as the ultimate source of authority in various fields such as politics, economics, and ethics. It is associated with the belief in free will and the ability of humans to make free choices, which is now being challenged by advancements in science and technology.
💡Algorithms
An algorithm is a set of rules or a procedure for solving problems, especially in computer science. In the video, algorithms are presented as a new form of authority that is taking over from human decision-making. It discusses how algorithms, powered by big data and computational power, can potentially understand human feelings and behaviors better than humans themselves, leading to a shift in decision-making authority from individuals to these algorithms.
💡Dataism
Dataism is a concept introduced in the video that represents a new worldview where authority is believed to come from data. It suggests that decisions in various aspects of life, including personal choices, are increasingly guided by data analysis rather than human intuition or traditional authority figures. The video illustrates how dataism could shift authority to entities like Google or Amazon, which can leverage vast amounts of data to make recommendations or decisions on behalf of individuals.
💡Biological Algorithms
The term 'biological algorithms' refers to the natural processes within living organisms that can be described using algorithms. In the video, it is suggested that human emotions and feelings are essentially biochemical algorithms that have evolved to help humans make decisions based on survival and reproduction. This concept is central to the argument that external algorithms might eventually outperform these biological ones in decision-making.
💡Free Will
Free will is the power of action without the constraint of necessity or fate. The video challenges the concept of free will, suggesting that it is an illusion and that human behavior is governed by deterministic or random processes. It posits that as scientific understanding of the human brain advances, the belief in free will may be replaced by a recognition that our decisions are calculable and predictable.
💡Big Data
Big data refers to extremely large data sets that can be analyzed computationally to reveal patterns, trends, and associations, especially relating to human behavior and interactions. In the video, big data is highlighted as a driving force behind the rise of algorithms and dataism, with the potential to make more accurate predictions about human behavior than individuals can make for themselves.
💡Biotech and Infotech
Biotech (biological technology) and infotech (information technology) are two fields that are converging, as discussed in the video. Biotech involves the use of biological systems in technology, while infotech relates to the storage, retrieval, and transmission of information. The merging of these fields is leading to advancements where technology companies are increasingly engaging in biotechnology, and vice versa, which has profound implications for understanding and influencing human behavior.
💡Natural Selection
Natural selection is the process by which certain heritable traits become more or less common in a population over time. In the video, it is mentioned as the force that has shaped human emotions and decision-making processes as survival tools. The video suggests that these 'feelings' are algorithms that have been refined through natural selection to help humans make decisions beneficial for survival and reproduction.
💡Fictional Reality
Fictional reality, as discussed in the video, refers to the shared beliefs, concepts, and constructs that have no objective existence but are created by human imagination. Examples include religion, nations, money, and corporations. These fictions are powerful because they enable large-scale human cooperation. The video argues that the human capacity to believe in and maintain such fictions is a key factor in human success as a species.
💡Authority Shift
The concept of authority shift in the video describes the transfer of decision-making power from one source to another over time. Initially, authority was divine or religious, then it shifted to human feelings and individual choice during the humanist era. The video predicts that the next shift will be from humans to algorithms, as they become more capable of making informed decisions based on extensive data and computational power.
💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)
While not explicitly mentioned in the transcript, the concept of AI is implicit throughout the video. AI refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. The video's discussion on algorithms and their increasing role in decision-making is closely related to advancements in AI, which is enabling machines to process vast amounts of data and make complex decisions that were traditionally the domain of human judgment.
Highlights

Introduction of Professor Yuval Harari, a best-selling author and lecturer at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

Harari's work 'Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind' was a New York Times Best Seller.

Discussion on the shift of authority from humans to algorithms and the rise of dataism.

Exploration of humanism and its emphasis on individual human feelings as the ultimate source of authority.

Critique of humanism suggesting that it's based on outdated scientific understanding of human nature.

Argument that organisms, including humans, are algorithms, calculating probabilities for survival and reproduction.

The potential for technology companies to understand humans better than humans understand themselves through data and algorithms.

Example of how medical decisions are increasingly being made by algorithms rather than individual feelings or human intuition.

Angelina Jolie's case study where algorithmic prediction led to a preventive double mastectomy despite the absence of cancer.

The concept of 'dataism' where decisions are made based on data from the cloud rather than personal feelings.

The evolution from religious authority to humanist autonomy and now towards data-driven decision-making.

The potential for technology to revolutionize personal decisions such as marriage based on extensive data analysis.

The increasing reliance on GPS applications like Google Maps or Waze for navigation, indicating a shift in trust from human intuition to technology.

Caveat that our understanding of the human brain and mind is still incomplete, which may affect the accuracy of algorithmic predictions.

Emphasis that technology is not deterministic and its outcomes depend on the choices and societies that utilize it.

The importance of remaining vigilant and proactive in shaping the kind of society we want, despite technological advancements.

Transcripts
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