War and International Politics | John Mearsheimer | NDISC Seminar Series

NDISC
13 Feb 202490:40
EducationalLearning
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TLDRIn this lecture, the speaker delves into the resurgence of great power politics in a multi-polar world, emphasizing the inevitability of war in international relations. He argues from a realist perspective that war is an extension of politics and a tool of statecraft, discussing the dynamics of war escalation and the challenges of maintaining limited conflicts. The talk also touches on the influence of nationalism and military logic on the conduct of war, highlighting the importance of political control in nuclear times.

Takeaways
  • 🌍 War and international politics primarily involve great power wars, not conflicts between minor states.
  • 🇺🇸 The unipolar moment (1991-2017) was dominated by the United States, making great power politics less relevant during that period.
  • 🌐 We now live in a multipolar world with the United States, China, and Russia as great powers, reviving great power politics.
  • ⚔️ War remains a dominating feature of international politics, influencing state behavior and interactions.
  • 🔫 War is an extension of politics by other means, often driven by national interest rather than ethics or international law.
  • 🔥 Escalation in war is a significant concern, as modern conflicts tend to escalate to extreme levels, especially in the nuclear age.
  • 🛡️ States always engage in security competition, with war as a constant backdrop influencing their actions.
  • 💣 Despite the destructiveness and risks of war, states have historically failed to eliminate it due to the competitive nature of politics and the anarchic international system.
  • 🔍 War is less likely in the modern era due to its destructiveness, nationalism, industrialization, and nuclear weapons, but its possibility still profoundly influences state behavior.
  • 🚫 Just War Theory and international law struggle to constrain states' decisions to go to war when national survival or significant interests are at stake.
Q & A
  • What is the primary focus of the lecture on war and international politics?

    -The lecture primarily focuses on great power war and its implications in international politics, especially in the context of a multi-polar world with major powers like the United States, China, and Russia.

  • What does the term 'unipolar moment' refer to in the context of international politics?

    -The 'unipolar moment' refers to a period in international politics, roughly from 1991 to 2017, when there was a single dominant power, the United States, following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

  • Why is war considered an extension of politics by other means according to the lecture?

    -War is considered an extension of politics by other means because it is a tool of statecraft used by nations when they believe it is in their national interest, and it has little to do with ethics, morals, or international law.

  • What are the two types of wars that are generally considered acceptable and expected in international politics?

    -The two types of wars considered acceptable and expected in international politics are preventive wars and wars of opportunity.

  • What is the main argument against the idea that war can be eliminated from international politics?

    -The main argument against the idea that war can be eliminated from international politics is the anarchic nature of the international system, where there is no higher authority to resolve conflicts, and the presence of fundamental disagreements between states that can lead to violence.

  • How does the concept of 'international politics as an intensely competitive enterprise' relate to the likelihood of war?

    -The concept suggests that the competitive nature of international politics, driven by the survival and interests of states, inherently increases the likelihood of war, as states may resort to conflict to protect or advance their interests.

  • What is the significance of the shift from a unipolar world to a multi-polar world in terms of international politics?

    -The shift signifies a return to great power politics, where security competition and the potential for war among major powers like the United States, China, and Russia are back on the table, making the world a more complex and potentially dangerous place.

  • What is the role of nationalism in making wars more destructive and why is it a problem for limiting wars?

    -Nationalism plays a significant role in making wars more destructive by enabling the creation of mass armies and motivating them with intense hatred for the enemy. It is a problem for limiting wars because it can lead to a desire for total victory and can fuel escalation beyond political control.

  • How does the lecturer define politics and why is this definition relevant to understanding international politics?

    -The lecturer defines politics as a contact sport involving fundamental disagreements that can lead to conflict. This definition is relevant to international politics because it underscores the competitive and potentially violent nature of interactions between states in the international system.

  • What are the implications of the讲师's argument that military considerations can come to dominate political considerations once a war has started?

    -The implications are significant, especially in the context of limited wars and nuclear conflicts. If military considerations dominate, there is a risk of escalation beyond the intended scope of the conflict, potentially leading to broader and more destructive outcomes that could spin out of political control.

  • What is the lecturer's stance on the role of moral considerations in international politics?

    -The lecturer acknowledges that moral considerations are important and influence how individuals think about international politics. However, he argues that in situations where moral and realist precepts conflict, realist considerations will ultimately prevail in international politics due to the nature of the international system.

Outlines
00:00
🌍 Unipolar to Multipolar World Shift

The speaker begins by discussing the transition from a unipolar world dominated by the United States post-Soviet Union collapse to a multipolar world with the rise of China and Russia as great powers. He emphasizes the return of great power politics and the increased relevance of war in international politics due to this shift. The speaker also introduces the three themes of his talk: the essence of international politics, the decision-making process for war, and the dynamics of war escalation.

05:02
🏛️ The Inevitability of War in International Politics

The speaker argues that war is a central feature of international politics due to its influence on state behavior and the competitive nature of states. He asserts that despite the destructiveness of war, it remains a possibility in the backdrop of international relations. The speaker also explains that the anarchical nature of the international system and the fundamental disagreements between states make the complete elimination of war impossible.

10:03
🤝 The Complexity of Security Competition and Cooperation

This paragraph delves into the continuous security competition among great powers, even during times of cooperation. The speaker uses the Cold War as an example, highlighting the United States and the Soviet Union's cooperation to prevent nuclear proliferation while still engaging in intense security competition. He also contrasts international politics with international economics, emphasizing the focus on survival in the former and prosperity in the latter.

15:05
💥 The Destructiveness and Deterrence of War

The speaker discusses the destructiveness of war and how it serves as a deterrent for states to initiate conflicts. He explains that the combination of nationalism, industrialization, and nuclear weapons makes war incredibly destructive, thus making it less likely to occur. However, he also notes that the potential for war remains a significant factor in how states interact.

20:06
🚫 The Limits of Just War Theory and International Law

The speaker challenges the conventional wisdom that Just War Theory and international law can dictate when states can go to war. He argues that these frameworks are inadequate for understanding the realist perspective on war as a tool of statecraft. The speaker also discusses the distinction between preemptive and preventive wars, as well as wars of opportunity, and how these concepts are viewed differently through a realist lens.

25:07
🛡️ The Role of Morality in International Politics

In this paragraph, the speaker explores the relationship between morality and realism in international politics. He acknowledges the role of moral considerations but asserts that in conflicts between moral and realist imperatives, the realist perspective will always prevail in the anarchic international system. The speaker also discusses the potential alignment of moral and realist interests in certain scenarios.

30:08
🔄 The Dynamics of War Escalation

The speaker discusses the tendency for wars to escalate once they begin, especially in the modern age. He explains how military considerations can come to dominate political ones, which is problematic for limited wars. The speaker highlights the importance of keeping nuclear wars limited and the challenges this presents, including the influence of military leaders, nationalism, and ideologies that push towards total victory.

35:11
🕊️ The Enduring Relevance of War in International Politics

In the final paragraph, the speaker concludes that conflict is inherent to politics and that war is an enduring aspect of international politics. He emphasizes that the fear of survival threats and the absence of a global authority make preventive wars and wars of opportunity possible, despite their moral and legal challenges. The speaker reiterates that political considerations will always outweigh economic, legal, and moral ones in times of conflict.

Mindmap
Keywords
💡Unipolar Moment
The term 'Unipolar Moment' refers to a period in international politics when there is a single dominant power or great power, in this case, the United States post-Soviet Union collapse until around 2017. It is central to the video's theme as it sets the stage for the discussion on the shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world and the implications for war and international politics.
💡Multipolar World
A 'Multipolar World' is characterized by the presence of three or more powerful nations, each with significant economic and military might, influencing global affairs. The video discusses the transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world and how this change has brought great power politics and the potential for great power war back into focus.
💡Great Power Politics
Great Power Politics involves the interactions and competition among the world's most influential nations. In the video, the concept is used to describe the dynamics that emerge when multiple nations possess considerable power, leading to heightened security competition and the potential for war.
💡Realist Perspective
The 'Realist Perspective' in international relations posits that states act rationally to pursue their national interests, often in competition with one another, and that power and security are central to their actions. The speaker identifies as a realist and uses this perspective to analyze war and international politics.
💡War as an Extension of Politics
Drawing from Clausewitz's famous dictum, 'War as an extension of politics by other means' suggests that war is a tool of statecraft used to achieve political objectives when other means have failed. The video explores this concept to discuss the decision-making processes of states when considering war.
💡Preventive War
A 'Preventive War' is waged when a state perceives a growing threat and acts to forestall future harm by attacking before the threat materializes. The video discusses how preventive wars are seen differently in realist and non-realist perspectives and their role in international politics.
💡War of Opportunity
A 'War of Opportunity' is initiated to exploit a temporary advantage or vulnerability in a rival to improve one's own position. The video mentions that such wars are considered unacceptable in conventional just war theory and international law, but are seen differently from a realist viewpoint.
💡Escalation in War
Escalation in War refers to the intensification of conflict, often leading to total war where all resources and efforts are directed towards victory. The video highlights the tendency for wars to escalate, especially in the modern age, and the challenges this poses for maintaining political control over military objectives.
💡International Anarchy
International Anarchy describes the lack of a central authority in the international system, leading to a state of perpetual competition and potential conflict among states. The concept is foundational to the video's discussion of why war remains an ever-present possibility in international politics.
💡Nuclear Deterrence
Nuclear Deterrence is the strategy of discouraging aggression by possessing a strong enough nuclear arsenal to retaliate against any nuclear attack. While not the main focus of the video, the concept is mentioned to illustrate the mindset of being aware of the destructive potential of modern warfare.
💡National Interest
National Interest refers to the goals and priorities that a state identifies as essential to its survival, prosperity, and influence. The video emphasizes that states go to war when they believe it serves their national interest, a core concept in realist thought.
💡Supreme Emergency
Supreme Emergency is a concept that suggests in a situation of imminent existential threat, a state might abandon its usual moral or legal constraints and act in its most pragmatic self-interest. The video uses this concept to discuss the limits of just war theory and the primacy of realism in critical situations.
Highlights

The speaker discusses the shift from a unipolar world dominated by the United States to a multipolar world involving the US, China, and Russia, emphasizing the resurgence of great power politics.

A realist perspective on war and international politics is presented, focusing on the role of war as a tool of statecraft rather than an ethical or moral issue.

The concept of war as an extension of politics by other means is introduced, highlighting the Clausewitzian view of the relationship between politics and war.

The speaker argues that war is the dominating feature of international politics, influencing leaders' thinking and state interactions.

The idea that there are two acceptable types of wars in international politics—preventive war and wars of opportunity—is contested against conventional wisdom.

The tendency for wars to escalate to their extreme levels in the modern age is discussed, with military considerations often overtaking political ones.

The importance of keeping war limited, especially in the nuclear era, is emphasized to maintain political control over military actions.

The role of nationalism, industrialization, and nuclear weapons in making war highly destructive and thus less likely to be initiated is explored.

The speaker challenges the notion that cooperation is impossible in international politics, citing examples of cooperation during the Cold War.

The difference between international economics and international politics is highlighted, with the latter prioritizing survival and security competition.

The impact of the unipolar moment on international politics is discussed, noting the shift from great power security competition to a focus on prosperity.

The speaker asserts that the conduct of international politics cannot be subordinated to a moral or legal order due to the anarchic nature of the international system.

The potential for conflict between moral and realist considerations in international politics is examined, with the prediction that realist considerations will prevail.

The speaker reflects on the enduring nature of war in international politics, arguing that it can never be eliminated due to the competitive nature of the system.

The importance of understanding the dynamics of escalation in war and the challenges of maintaining limited wars is reiterated, especially in the context of nuclear weapons.

The role of military leaders in advocating for decisive victories and their resistance to civilian control in war is discussed, highlighting the potential for escalation.

The influence of ideologies such as nationalism and liberal crusader mentality on the escalation of wars is examined, along with the dynamics of war that push towards total victory.

Transcripts
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